Studies have shown that active fund managers routinely underperform the S&P500 index*​

The Piotroski F-Score as an Indicator of Future Performance

Purpose

The Piotroski F-Score is best understood as a value-trap filter. It does not identify whether a stock is cheap; it helps determine whether a cheap company’s underlying financial condition is improving or deteriorating.

The Nine F-Score Tests

A company receives one point for each test it passes.

CategoryOne point when…What it identifies
ProfitabilityROA is positiveThe company is profitable
ProfitabilityOperating cash flow is positiveOperations generate cash
Profitability trendROA increased year over yearProfitability is improving
Earnings qualityOperating cash flow exceeds net incomeEarnings are supported by cash
LeverageLong-term debt-to-assets decreasedBalance-sheet risk is falling
LiquidityCurrent ratio increasedShort-term financial flexibility improved
DilutionNo new common shares were issuedExisting shareholders were not diluted
EfficiencyGross margin increasedPricing power or cost efficiency improved
EfficiencyAsset turnover increasedAssets are generating more revenue

The score ranges from zero to nine. Piotroski intentionally made the tests binary so the score would be transparent and easy to implement.

ScoreInterpretation
8–9Very strong fundamentals
7Strong
5–6Mixed/neutral
3–4Weak
0–2Very weak

What The Original Study Found

Piotroski examined 14,043 high book-to-market firm-year observations from 1976 through 1996. It proved that an investment strategy which buys expected winners and shorts expected losers generated a 23% annual return between 1976 and 1996.

Importantly, this did not prove high-score companies almost always beat the market. In the original sample, only 50% did so.

Link to the Study: Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers

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