The Accuracy of the 10 Year-3 Month Yield Curve As a Recession Indicator

10-Year-3-Month Treasury Yield Curve Over the Last 40 Years Effectiveness of the 10 Year-3 Month Yield Curve as a Recession Indicator The spread between the 10-year and the 3-month Treasury yield has historically been one of the most closely watched indicators of an approaching U.S. recession. An inverted yield curve occurs when the 3-month Treasury yield rises […]